Australian Open Prediction: Tiafoe – Comesana (21-01-2026)

The Australian Open continues in Melbourne as Frances Tiafoe takes on Francisco Comesana in the ATP Singles draw.

With fast hard courts and best-of-five-set format, this matchup sets up well for a serve-focused angle.

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Frances Tiafoe relies heavily on his serve, especially on hard courts, where his power and flat first delivery consistently generate free points.

That was clearly visible in his previous Australian Open match, where he recorded 23 aces in a straight-sets win, despite the match not featuring an unusually high number of games.

The best-of-five-set format at ATP Grand Slam events significantly increases the total number of service games, even if the match ends in three sets.

In this case, reaching 15 aces requires an average of just five aces per set, a number Tiafoe regularly exceeds against lower-ranked opponents.

Francisco Comesana does not apply consistent pressure on return against elite servers, particularly on fast surfaces.

That allows Tiafoe to dictate play on his serve and rack up aces not only in comfortable holds but also during tighter moments, where he tends to rely even more on first-serve power.

Given the court speed, match format, and Tiafoe’s recent serving numbers in this tournament, the over 14.5 aces line looks well within reach without requiring an unusually long or close match.