StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 Prediction: Spirit – Falcons (11-12-2025)

Spirit and Falcons meet in the StarLadder Major quarterfinals in Budapest, with the BO3 series scheduled to start at 17:00 local time. Both teams arrive in comparable form, and everything points to a long, competitive match.

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Looking at recent performances, both teams have been pushed in their latest BO3 series. Spirit dropped a map to MOUZ and had tight maps against Liquid and Faze, while Falcons pushed G2 to three maps, defeated them 2-1, and went the distance against MOUZ despite losing 2-1. Neither team looks dominant enough to close this series quickly.

Player form also supports a high-rounds scenario. For Spirit, donk continues to put up elite numbers – around 90+ ADR, a strong rating, and some of the best multi-kill percentages in the event.

Falcons respond with a powerful trio in m0NESY, NiKo and TeSeS and has enough firepower to take at least one map and pressure Spirit heavily.

Map pool dynamics point to balance rather than mismatches: Spirit almost always ban Inferno, Falcons almost always ban Overpass. That leaves Dust2, Ancient, Mirage or Nuke as the most realistic options.

Both teams have strong win rates on these maps: Spirit hold 67% on Dust2 and 83% on Ancient, while Falcons have 80% on Dust2, 83% on Ancient and 78% on Mirage.

When both sides feel comfortable in the map pool, BO3s tend to stretch into either three maps or two maps with very high round counts.

Given the form, player strengths and map overlap, this matchup has all the signs of a long and close quarterfinal. The over 50.5 rounds line offers strong value.