UFC Fight Night 270 Predictions: Evloev vs Murphy (21-03-2026)

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy (also known as UFC Fight Night 270) is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 21, 2026, at The O2 Arena in London, England.

The event will mark the promotion’s 17th visit to London and first since UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady in March 2025.

A featherweight title eliminator bout between undefeated contenders Movsar Evloev and Lerone Murphy is scheduled to headline the event.

A true polish MMA star in the making, Iwo Baraniewski is scheduled for his second fight under UFC promotion. The fighter was previously MMA Babilon champion and got his shot in DWCS in September, 2025.

Iwo fought Mahamed Aly and finished him in only 20 seconds of the fight with a vicious overhand and ground punches. This earned him a contract and only 3 months later he made his UFC debut.

In his first bout he faced then 14-3 Ibo Aslan and once again showed how dangerous he is. The fight lasted only 1 minute and 29 seconds as the polish fighter landed a right hook and finished the opponent with the ground strikes.

Austen Lane is with the organisation from 2023, but so far did not find any luck. The American lost on his debut versus Justin Tafa in the 1st round and in total now is 1-4 with the UFC.

His only win was against Robelis Despaigne, who is no longer with the organisation. 2 of his losses were in the 1st round while the other two were in the 2nd, so this might be his last fight with the UFC.

Iwo is a huge favourite in this bout and all 7 of his wins are in the 1st round. With Lane’s poor record and 5 first round losses we are expecting the polish fighter to win without the fight seeing the 2nd round. And it is a good choice at well-known bookmakers.

Michael Venom Page continues his UFC journey and is scheduled for his 5th fight under the promotion. The UK superstar showed his unique style right from the start with a win over Kevin Holland.

MVP later faced former #2 ranked fighter Ian Garry, but was taken down in the final round which earned the Irish man a unanimous decision victory. Michael quickly returned to the winning column with two decision wins versus respected strikers in Shara Magomedov and Jared Cannonier.

Throughout all of his fights Page was barely damaged and the opponents could not find his range. He outstruck all of his rivals and remains as one of the most versatile and dangerous strikers in the game.

Sam Patterson is also a fairly new name to the UFC fighters community, but his debut did not go as he had wanted. The UK fighter got caught in the first round with a left counter from Yanal Ashmouz and lost in the first round.

However, he did find significant improvement, finishing all 4 of his later opponents in the first round. Firstly, he submitted two with an arm triangle and a rear naked choke and later got one KO and one TKO.

Despite 4 wins in a row, it was not enough for him to break through to the top 15 and a win over MVP should definitely get him there.

Although in all of his bouts MVP was scheduled against strikers, with Patterson being another one, he decided to fight cautiously and all fights went to the decision.

This fight is a great opportunity for us to capitalize on great rounds over odds as we are expecting MVP to keep the range and Sam to struggle to find the range.

The undefeated Movsar Evloev returns to the octagon after one and a half year absence. The fighter by now should have fought for the title, but injuries, missed weights or opponents pull outs have cost him a fortune.

In his last 3 bouts the Russian fought the best of the best of the division from a stretch to 2023 to 2024. In this time frame he beat two times title challenger Diego Lopes, Brendan Allen and former champion Aljamain Sterling.

He definitely holds one of the best resumes in his weight class, but did not necessarily earn the respect of everyone. All of 9 UFC wins were by decision and his last finish was in 2018.

Lerone Murphy is also an undefeated fighter and has a very impressive record of 17-0-1 and by now also has 9 UFC wins.

In his latest bout he finished Aaron Pico with a spinning elbow which was one of the KO’s of the year. Primarily a kickboxer, Lerone has 3 UFC finishes and 6 of his fights ended in a decision win, with one ending in a majority draw.

During his time with the organisation the English men beat the likes of Edson Barboza, Josh Emmet and few others.

In a total clash of styles we have a pressure wrestler fighting against a pressure striker. Lerone’s best chance to win likely is a KO/TKO finish in the early rounds so he must start the fight with a lot of aggression before his power goes away.

M.Evloev is aware of his critics and publicly apologized for some of his performances and was really close to finishing Brendan Allen in the 5 rounder, which should put more pressure on him to look for the finish.

If there’s ever going to be a fight where Evloev does not go to a decision (so it ends early by KO, submission, or stoppage), this upcoming fight is the most likely one.