NBL Playoffs Prediction: SEM Phoenix – Perth Wildcats (04-03-2026)

South East Melbourne Phoenix host Perth Wildcats at John Cain Arena in the NBL 1/8 Finals, with this matchup shaped by tight regular-season meetings between the sides.

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Perth Wildcats finished the regular season in stronger rhythm and have consistently kept this matchup tight.

The Wildcats won the last two head-to-head meetings – 101-93 on 28th January and 97-107 on 10th January.

In their two defeats earlier in the season (94-89 and 76-77), they did not lose by more than five points.

Every clash between these teams this season has stayed within a narrow scoring margin.

South East Melbourne Phoenix averaged 100.7 points per game during the regular season while allowing 92.8.

Perth averaged 90.8 points scored and conceded 86.1, operating with a more controlled defensive structure.

Despite the difference in scoring averages, none of the four meetings produced separation beyond single digits.

Given the consistent head-to-head pattern and Perth’s stronger close to the season, the +5.5 spread reflects how tight this series has been throughout the year.