UFC Fight Night Prediction: Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown (08.11.2025)

UFC Vegas 111 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that will take place on November 8, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Enterprise,Nevada, part of the Las Vegas Valley, United States.

A welterweight clash between former LFA Welterweight Champion Gabriel Bonfim and Randy Brown is set to headline the event. The two were initially slated to face each other at UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot a month earlier, but the matchup was rescheduled to this card to serve as the main event.

The Main card also features bouts between Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales and Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic, which we will be reviewing in this article too.

One of the hottest divisions prospects G.Bonfim tries to get one step closer to a potential title shot. The Brazilian was signed by the company after an impressive first round submission finish against Trey Water in the Dana White’s Contender Series.

Since then, he quickly finished Mounir Lazzez and Trevin Giles in the first round, but was stopped by Nicolas Dalby after being kneed while in the clinch. G.Bonfim turned things around with three straight wins and now is ranked #14.

This year he is keeping things busy as he has already beat Khoas Williams via D’arce choke in the second round. In his latest bout G.Bonfim faced UFC legend Stephen ‘’Wonderboy’’ Thompson and got the nod from the referees eventually being awarded a split decision.

S.Thompson as expected found way more success on the feet and outstruck his opponent 61 significant strikes to 35 and clearly won the second round. A true BJJ practitioner, G.Bonfim found his luck with the takedowns, completing 5 and holding Wonderboy successfully on the ground with the total control time of 5 minutes and 29 seconds, which won him this fight.

Now G.Bonfim is 18-1 in his pro MMA career and 5-1 with the UFC. 72% of his wins (13 in total) are by submission, which remains his strongest weapon since the beginning of career.

Randy Brown got experience in his hands and debuted under the organisation back in 2016. The Rudeboy fought some very big names in that time facing former division champion Belal Muhammad and the current champion Jack Della Maddalena losing to both.

For the Jamaican this will be only his second fight of the year as he has finished Nickolas Dalby in the second round with a vicious right hook back in April. R.Brown was on 3 fights winning streak recently, but in 2024 lost by a split decision versus J.Battle, who got cut by the company for not cutting the weight.

Now the Rudeboy is 14-6 with the UFC with 40% of his MMA career wins coming by the way of KO.
G.Bonfim has a perfect style to take another win in this match up versus R.Brown. His strong BJJ and clinch game should be too much for R.Brown, who has lost by a submission already 5 times in his career.

Since R.Brown is not known for a great cardio due to his early explosions and heavy punching, the best way to neutralize him is taking things to the ground early and making him tired. Disregarding Bonfim’s decent chances in this one, the safest bet at top bookmakers remains – over 1.5 total rounds. 

9 year UFC veteran Matt ‘’Danger’’ Schnell was finally capable of ending a three-fights losing streak in his latest bout versus Jimmy Flick. After a sloppy first round, M.Schnell took over the fight in the second round while keeping the things busy on the feet and outlanding the opponent with 61 significant strikes to Flick’s 20 in the whole fight.

Although the opponent had an impressive takedown success, completing 5 out of 7, he was not able to create any real danger on the ground or find a space for submission. M.Schnell was awarded a unanimous decision 29-28, which was his first win since July, 2022.

The Danger now has a 17-9-1 pro MMA record with 53% of his wins coming by submission and 29% by decision.

Joseph Morales tries to create his own Cinderella story as he was cut from the UFC back in 2018 after going 1-2 in his first run for the organization. After collecting 3 wins in other MMA promotions, ‘’Bopo’’ qualified for The Ultimate Fighter show winning all of his fights and getting signed back by D.White.

He made his return on August, 2025 in a bout versus a debutant Alibi Idris. J.Morales was outstruck in the first round, but completed a nice takedown in the second and finished his opponent with a triangle choke.

J.Morales is now 13-2 in his pro MMA career with 54% of his wins coming by submission and 31 by a decision

Although M.Schnell is a huge underdog, his experience and style could cause big problems for J.Morales. The Danger showed that he knows how to escape or avoid any real damage in the clinch positions or after being taken down.

J.Morales best chance to win remains his strong ground game and submissions attacks. The last time he KO’d an opponent was back in 2017.

Due to the similar fighting styles and the fact that M.Schnell went past the 1st round 5 times in a row in his last bouts, it is hard to see this fight finishing early.

After a lot of ups and downs Muslim Salikhov was finally able to up a decent winning streak in a long time. In February, 2024 ‘’The King of Kung Fu’’ suffered his last loss versus this card’s main event fighter R.Brown after a devastating straight right hand in the first round.

Since then the Russian won 3 straight fights in a row finishing 2 of them with a highlight KO’s. He fought once this year in a bout versus Carlos Leal, who made a lot of noise after defeating UFC veteran Alex Morono. The Brazilian pressed M.Salikhov early, but the opponent surprised him with a quick counter right hook which sent C.Leal to the ground in only 42 seconds.

M.Salikhov now is 22-5 in his pro MMA career and 9-4 in the UFC. 64% of his wins were by KO/TKO and in the UFC he went to the decision 5 times out of 13 fights.

Uros Medic also does not like to leave his faith into the hands of the referees and never went to the decision in the UFC. It was clear right from his debut when he finished Aalon Cruz in only 1 minute 40 seconds.

But he was introduced to the ranked fighters too early and lost against such names as Jalin Turner and Punahele Soriano. U.Medic returned to the winning column in his last bout in August, 2025.

The Serbian beat Gilbert Urbina with a straight left hand KO in the first minute of the 1st round. G.Urbina at that time had 1-2 record, therefore, this win still raises questions in regards to the U.Medic true abilities.

The matchmaking behind this one is clear: put two KO artists in front of each other and see which one falls first. It is hard to see this fight going past the first round with both men holding a lot of power in their hands and due to the high early finishing ratio.